• Bet on Jaylen Warren OVER 34.5 rushing yards (-110 FanDuel): Warren played almost 60% of snaps in a blowout Week 16 win against the Bengals — a good sign that he will be on the field often in Week 17 against one of the NFL's worst run defenses over the second half of the season.
• Bet on DeAndre Hopkins UNDER 63.5 receiving yards (-110 FanDuel): Several factors are in play that point to taking the under on Hopkins' line, including Will Levis‘ ankle injury potentially hampering the Titans' offense.
• Get $150 in bonus bets: New FanDuel customers who bet $5 or more receive $150 in bonus bets if their team wins, plus a profit boost token every day. Join FanDuel today!
Estimated Reading Time: 2 minutes
We wrote up only two bets last week for the Christmas slate, and both won, leaving us with a season-long return of 7.52 units for a 6.66% return on investment when betting to win one unit per bet.
Here are two bets for the Week 17 Sunday slate.
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Seattle Seahawks — Jaylen Warren Over 34.5 Rush Yards (-110 FanDuel)
Jaylen Warren has long been expected to take on a larger role in the Steelers' offense, and while that has happened to a certain degree, fans will be disappointed that he has not yet managed to secure the starting role from Najee Harris.
A large chunk of Warren's previous production stemmed from playing on typical passing downs against lighter boxes, and now that he has a more substantial role on early downs, his high-end efficiency has, understandably, dropped off.
Warren played almost 60% of snaps — an increase of roughly 10 percentage points over his average — in a blowout Week 16 win against the Bengals, and although that did not translate to rushing attempts, it is a good sign that he will be on the field often in Week 17 against one of the NFL's worst run defenses over the second half of the season in the Seattle Seahawks. And Warren's line has not changed relative to previous weeks, so there is a small edge to be had in betting his over.
Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans — DeAndre Hopkins Under 63.5 Receiving Yards (-110 FanDuel)
Several factors are in play that point to taking the under on Hopkins' line.
Will Levis is coming off an ankle injury that may hamper his movement, and the Texans' run defense has been very stout this season, including holding Derrick Henry to nine yards on 16 carries two weeks ago, so maintaining drives may become an issue for Tennessee's offense.
Texans cornerback Steven Nelson is likely going to miss this game opposite Derek Stingley, but with quarterback C.J. Stroud back in the mix and Jeffery Simmons out for the Titans in the middle of the defensive line, the Texans have an excellent opportunity to control possession and limit Tennessee's offensive production.
The fat side of Hopkins' distributions signals to take the under here, with only sporadic big-play variance possibly leading to yards.
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