- Head coach: Spencer Danielson (second season)
- 2023 record: 8-6 (lost LA Bowl)
- PFF power ranking: 49th
- Chance to win the Mountain West: 18%
- Strength of schedule: 79th
- Projected win total: 7.4
- FanDuel win total: 9.5
- 2024 recruiting rank (On3): No. 65 nationally, No. 1 in the Mountain West
Boise State’s 2023 season was a tale of two halves. After a disappointing 5-5 start, head coach Andy Avalos was fired, and defensive coordinator Spencer Danielson stepped in as the interim coach. The Broncos rallied under Danielson, winning their final three regular-season games and capturing their first Mountain West title in four years.
Now that Danielson has been named the permanent head coach, expectations are high. With the College Football Playoff expanding to 12 teams, a Group of Five champion is guaranteed a spot. Boise State is the current betting favorite (+400) among the Group of Five to secure that spot, largely because of superstar running back Ashton Jeanty.
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Biggest Strength: Offense has incredible upside
Boise State’s offense features one of the nation’s best running backs in Ashton Jeanty, who is an elite runner and an elite receiver. He’ll be the engine of what should be one of the best offenses in the Mountain West.
Biggest Weakness: Will the defensive line improve?
Boise State brought back three of its four starters from last year’s defensive line, but none of them earned a 70.0-plus PFF grade in 2023. The Broncos were outside the top 100 in both run-defense and pass-rushing grades last year, primarily due to their struggles up front.
2023 Team Overview
Offense |
||||
| EPA per play | Yards per play | Successful play rate | Explosive run play rate | Explosive pass play rate |
| 0.118 | 6.5 | 39.3% | 17.4% | 18.5% |
| 23rd | T-16th | T-18th | 37th | 19th |
Defense |
||||
| EPA allowed per play | Yards allowed per play | Successful play rate allowed | Explosive run rate allowed | Explosive pass rate allowed |
| -0.010 | 6.1 | 34.4% | 16.7% | 15.6% |
| 74th | 100th | 62nd | T-94th | 103rd |
Three Notable Transfer Portal Additions
- QB Malachi Nelson (USC): 60.5 PFF Grade
- WR Cam Camper (Indiana): 70.7 PFF Grade
- CB Jeremiah Earby (California): 60.6 PFF Grade
Three Notable Transfer Portal Losses
- WR Eric McAlister (TCU): 80.9 PFF Grade
- QB Taylen Green (Arkansas): 68.1 PFF Grade
- QB CJ Tiller (Utah State): 56.1 PFF Grade
Quarterback Spotlight: Maddux Madsen
2023 Grade: 66.4
Key Stat: 29.9 passing grade under pressure last season
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