- Head coach: Sonny Dykes (third season)
- 2023 record: 5-7
- PFF power ranking: 46th
- Chance to win the Big 12: 7%
- Strength of schedule: 54th
- Projected win total: 6.5
- FanDuel win total: 7.5
- 2024 recruiting rank (On3): No. 36 nationally, No. 3 in the Big 12
2023 was a hangover season for TCU after the program made the national championship game in 2022. The Horned Frogs were the first team since Texas in 2010 to follow a national title game appearance with a losing record.
While it’s unlikely that TCU will make another run to the national championship, there is optimism that the team can get back to its winning ways. It starts with a strong receiving corps, headlined by Boise State transfer wide receiver Eric McAlister. The Horned Frogs will need four transfers on the offensive line and their pass rush to step up to have a successful year.
Click here for more college football:
NCAA Power Rankings | NCAA Premium Stats | NCAA Betting Dashboards 2024 CFB Schedule | News and Analysis | The PFF College Football Show
Biggest Strength: Receiving corps
Even after losing first-round receiver Quentin Johnston, TCU finished with the nation’s 23rd-best receiving grade in 2023. The Horned Frogs could be even better in 2024, as they bring back their top two pass-catchers (Savion Williams and JP Richardson) and added a couple of big-time transfers in Boise State wide receiver Eric McAlister and Baylor tight end Drake Dabney.
Biggest Weakness: Pass rush
TCU couldn't consistently get after the quarterback in 2023, finishing among the 10 worst FBS teams in both pass-rush win rate and pressure rate. The Horned Frogs didn’t do much to address the issue in the transfer portal and lost last year’s pressure leader, Damonic Williams, to Oklahoma.
2023 Team Overview
Offense |
||||
| EPA per play | Yards per play | Successful play rate | Explosive run play rate | Explosive pass play rate |
| 0.077 | 6.2 | 39.2% | 17.0% | 15.4% |
| 37th | T-42nd | 21st | 45th | 52nd |
Defense |
||||
| EPA allowed per play | Yards allowed per play | Successful play rate allowed | Explosive run rate allowed | Explosive pass rate allowed |
| 0.030 | 5.7 | 34.7% | 13.0% | 14.6% |
| 91st | T-72nd | 70th | 27th | 75th |
Three Notable Transfer Portal Additions
- WR Eric McAlister (Boise State): 80.9 PFF grade
- OT Bless Harris (Florida State): 72.9 PFF grade
- S Jaise Oliver (Tulsa): 73.0 PFF grade
Three Notable Transfer Portal Losses
- QB Chandler Morris (North Texas): 79.4 PFF grade
- DT Damonic Williams (Oklahoma): 69.0 PFF grade
- S Randon Fontenette (Vanderbilt): 69.3 PFF grade
Quarterback Spotlight: Josh Hoover
2023 Grade: 75.5
Key Stat: Earned the two highest single-game passing grades in Big 12 — 92.1 and 91.4 in Weeks 7 and 12, respectively (minimum of 20 attempts)
DOMINATE FANTASY FOOTBALL & BETTING WITH AI-POWERED DATA & TOOLS TRUSTED BY ALL 32
Unlimited Fantasy League Sync
Fantasy Start/Sit Line-Up Optimizer & Waiver Wire
WR-CB & OL-DL Matchups, PFF Player Grades, & Premium Stats 2.0 Tools
Nathan Jahnkes Rankings - #1 Most Accurate Last 70 Weeks
PFF Best Bets, Player Props, & Power Ranking Tools
NFL Mock Draft Sim with Trades & Draft Grades
Already have a subscription? Log In
© 2024 PFF - all rights reserved.