Premium Content Sign Up

NFL Week 6 Betting: Midweek market update

2Y8RD2E Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels (5) runs for a long gain against the Cleveland Browns during the second half of an NFL football game in Landover, Md., Sunday, Oct. 6, 2024. (AP Photo/Stephanie Scarbrough)

Helping you understand market movement: This article will explain the factors that drive line movements in betting markets, helping you assess whether a change is an overreaction or underreaction to these market influences.

• A bet for CommandersRavensBuy Commanders +6.5 in a battle between two electric quarterbacks.

Get ahead of the competition: Sign up for PFF+ to access PFF's betting dashboards, fantasy football start-sit optimizer, weekly fantasy rankings and more!

Estimated reading time: 7 minutes

Welcome to PFF's weekly midweek market update.

This article will explain the factors that drive line movements in betting markets, helping you assess whether a change is an overreaction or underreaction to these market influences.

Injury, weather conditions and public pick releases can all affect line movement. Click here for a deeper explanation of what we aim to achieve with this article.

Click here to jump to a game

SF@SEA | JAX@CHI | WAS@BAL | AZ@GB | HOU@NE | TB@NO | CLE@PHI IND@TEN | LAC@DEN | PIT@LV | ATL@CAR | DET@DAL
CIN@NYG | BUF@NYJ


SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS VS. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

Lookahead Opener Current Line
Spread SF -3 SF -3 SF -3.5
Total 47 47.5 49.5

Spread: The spread spent the first half of the week locked in at 3 before ticking up to 3.5. There are nothing but 3.5s across the board. 

Total: A pick release pushed this total up a few points from its opener to as high as 50 before settling in at 49.5.


JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS VS. CHICAGO BEARS

Lookahead Opener Current Line
Spread JAX -1 CHI -2.5 CHI -2
Total 42 42 44.5

Spread: We’ve yet to see this touch 3, as Chicago opened as the favorite after being a small dog in the lookahead market. I don’t see this line moving much before kickoff.

Total: A pick release pushed this total up from 42 to as high as 45.5 before money showed up on the under.

Situational Factors: This is a London game, and no team has more experience making the trip than the Jaguars.


DOMINATE FANTASY FOOTBALL & BETTING WITH AI-POWERED DATA & TOOLS TRUSTED BY ALL 32

Unlimited Fantasy League Sync
Fantasy Start/Sit Line-Up Optimizer & Waiver Wire
WR-CB & OL-DL Matchups, PFF Player Grades, & Premium Stats 2.0 Tools
Nathan Jahnkes Rankings - #1 Most Accurate Last 70 Weeks
PFF Best Bets, Player Props, & Power Ranking Tools
NFL Mock Draft Sim with Trades & Draft Grades

Already have a subscription? Log In

Betting Featured Tools
  • PFF's Best Bets Tool reveals the bets PFF's data and algorithms give the biggest edge to within spread, total, player prop, and moneyline markets.

    Available with

  • PFF's Player Props Tool reveals betting opportunities within player prop markets.

    Available with

  • Power Rankings are PFF’s NFL power ratings based on weekly player grades in each facet of play. These power rankings are adjusted based on coach, quarterback and the market each season.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NFL game.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NCAA game.

    Available with

Subscriptions

Unlock the 2024 Fantasy Draft Kit, with Live Draft Assistant, Fantasy Mock Draft Sim, Rankings & PFF Grades

$24.99/mo
OR
$119.99/yr